US Stock Futures Flat As Powell Adopts Hawkish Tone

US Stock Futures:

  • Trading around the flatline on Friday
  • Followed a loss the day before after Chair Powell adopted a more hawkish tone
  • Powell stated that the Fed is prepared to raise interest rates further if necessary
  • Easing some bets of a rate cut next year
  • Awaiting additional comments from other Fed officials throughout the day
  • Market Dynamics:

  • Monitoring key economic reports scheduled for next week, including the CPI report, for further insights into the interest rate outlook
  • Earnings season continues, with Diageo losing about 14% in premarket trading after warning of weaker profit and sales
  • Trade Desk sank about 25% after offering weak sales guidance
  • Weekly performance: S&P 500 down nearly 0.3%, Dow Jones fell 0.5%, Nasdaq up 0.3% so far
  • Currency and Interest Rates:

  • Dollar index held above 105.5, set to finish the week higher
  • Federal Reserve officials push back against speculations of already peaked US interest rates
  • Powell: Fed “not confident” it has done enough to bring down inflation
  • Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also signal potential for further rate hikes
  • Weekly jobless claims fell by 3K to 217K, in line with expectations
  • US Treasury Yield:

  • Yield on US 10-year Treasury note steadied around 4.6% on Friday
  • Powell’s remarks on potential further tightening if needed
  • Fed’s recent decision to keep interest rates unchanged and investors’ close monitoring of new auctions
  • Treasury Department sold $24 billion in 30-year bonds, bid-to-cover ratio lowest in almost two years
  • Upcoming US CPI report expected to provide crucial updates on inflationary pressures
  •  E-mini S&P 500 PerspectiveThe E-mini S&P 500 is currently trading with gains of about 0.1% around 4366. In the previous session, it closed with a double distribution volume structure. The specific low volume area could potentially be filled or act as a selling area, while the lower region might be targeted for absorption purposes. Additionally, the market formed an outside bar, indicating a possible shift in market dynamics towards balance.The current situation, with a slightly lower dollar and negative volatility, may provide some support to the market at this time.(Click on image to enlarge)More By This Author:

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