The US presidential elections in 2016 offer two very stark candidates, for voters and markets, with extremely different reactions. Some compare a potential Trump victory to Brexit times 10, while a Clinton victory will be more of the same: Clinton Continuation vs. Donald Disruption . Heading into the elections, Clinton is in the lead but nothing is certain with Trump and with political events, as we’ver learned earlier this year. Forex brokers are already getting ready.
This page features every related update: from the background, through the via the big night and the aftermath in foreign exchange markets. All currencies are in play and all the updates are here:
- Nov 21, 12:12: Not all financial assets are Trump-ed equally – MM #124: Financial markets are certainly moving in the near-fortnight after Trump shocked markets with his ascent to the presidency. You are…
- Nov 17, 23:52: USD/JPY: Supported By Risk, Fed And US Reflation: Targeting: USD/JPY is already topping the 110 level in a move that seems unstoppable. The team at Danske explains the action…
- Nov 16, 12:36: EUR/USD: Justifiably Weaker On 2 Factors – Barclays: EUR/USD managed to bounce off support at 1.0710 but it is already making attempts to move lower. The team at…
- Nov 16, 12:17: Dollar waiting for the next signal to rise [Video]: The greenback rallied hard on high expectations from Trump’s presidency, but after towering over the board, the greenback took a…
- Nov 15, 17:13: USD/JPY tops 109 as dollar marches forward – what’s: Dollar/yen is defying all expectations: instead of crashing on safe-haven demand for the Japanese currency (something that did happen but lasted…
- Nov 15, 10:25: EUR/USD Post-Trump: 2 Key Reasons To Sell; We Stay Short: EUR/USD did manage to bounce up in perfect range trading, but this could also be a dead-cat bounce. The team…
- Nov 15, 9:00: Will EUR/USD greet Trump at parity?: EUR/USD fell to the lowest levels since the beginning of the year. Will it tackle the roundest level of all, parity?…
- Nov 15, 8:44: USD/JPY: Targeting 115-120: The ‘Buy-On-Dip’ Cycle continues: USD/JPY made a sharp turn-around after Trump’s Triumph and the pair now tops 108. The BOJ must be delighted. The…
- Nov 14, 16:25: USD/CAD at highest since February – 3 reasons and levels: The Canadian dollar is suffering from the election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the USA. Is this…
- Nov 14, 15:48: 3 reasons why Trump could make the forex industry great: President-elect Donald Trump has had major contradictions as a candidate. He managed to woo the working people that lost their manufacturing jobs…
- Nov 14, 14:57: EUR/USD finds support only at 2016 lows – why and: The US dollar continues storming forward, and EUR/USD sees no mercy. The world’s No. 1 currency pair is trading at…
- Nov 14, 12:12: Trump-time – fiscal, monetary and market implications – MM: We focus on Trump’s Triumph: the shock result has significant implications for both fiscal and monetary policy and it already…
- Nov 11, 12:48: EUR/USD forms double-bottom as dust settles on US elections: It’s back to business after the initial storm from Trump’s Triumph. Volatility is likely to continue, but currencies are now…
- Nov 11, 12:27: GBP/USD rises as election dust settles, Super Thursday re-emerges: The British pound advanced just a bit when it became apparent that Donald Trump was in the lead but dropped when the greenback…
- Nov 11, 7:42: What To Expect From The Dollar In The Era Of: After Trump’s shock victory the US dollar roller-coasted. Will markets remain volatile? The greenback could have different reactions to different currencies: Here…
- Nov 10, 14:57: Trump and Canada: 4 Implications – Nomura: After Trump’s Triumph, the Canadian dollar tanked, but then recovered. What’s next? Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: In…
- Nov 10, 10:44: The Republican Clean Sweep could make the dollar great: Trump’s victory was accompanied by a clean Republican sweep of Congress. What does this mean for the USD dollar? Here…
- Nov 9, 23:04: Trump Wins: Add To USD/CAD Longs On Dips Into: Following Trump’s sensational victory, the Canadian dollar weakened, but then rebounded. What’s next? Here is the view from TD: Here…
- Nov 9, 21:54: Trump Wins: Targets For AUD/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD –: Donald Trump won the presidency in a shock decision that rocked markets. What’s next? Here are targets for 4 currency pairs:…
- Nov 9, 15:43: Technical levels for crosses awaiting President Trump [Video]: Lines of resistance and support for the following crosses: EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/MXN and we also top it off…
- Nov 9, 14:55: Trump Wins: What’s Now For The Dollar? – Deutsche Bank: Donald Trump is the next president of the US. The shock has already stirred markets. The team at Deutsche Bank outlines what’s…
- Nov 9, 14:42: Trump trumps markets, which attempt to bounce [Video]: A shocking Trump victory in the US elections sent stock markets crashing, the yen soaring and the dollar struggling against…
- Nov 9, 14:15: Technical levels greeting President Trump for major pairs [Video]: Lines of support and resistance for the major pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CHF after the big…
- Nov 9, 8:32: Trump wins. It’s official – markets devastated – all: It seemed all but over and now it is officially over: the networks have called the elections for Donald Trump,…
- Nov 9, 5:39: Get Used to President Donald Trump – Markets Crash: The elections are all but over with a huge upset: Donald Trump is on track to enter the White House,…
- Nov 9, 5:00: Elections live blog: Trump elected President – as it: Donald Trump is the next president of the United States. The Republican won the highly contested states of Florida and…
- Nov 9, 4:47: Canadian dollar crashes on prospects of President Trump, oil: USD/CAD is reaching new highs, moving above the resistance line of 1.3460 which was quite close. The USÂ presidential race is…
- Nov 9, 3:28: Trump wins Presidency – EUR/USD rises, but could fall –: The real votes coming in from across the US favor the Republican candidate, and markets are panicking. The dollar is selling…
- Nov 9, 3:02: “President Trump†cannot be ruled out – markets cringe: The picture looks better for Donald Trump and worse for Hillary Clinton. The latest real results are promising for the…
- Nov 9, 0:28: Just before first exit polls: Clinton up in Florida,: The experimental VoteCastr site just released a new estimate. Much more votes are in. Hillary Clinton seems to be heading for victory….
- Nov 8, 22:34: Report: Clinton set to win Florida, Ohio and basically: The people behind VoteCastr continue casting their projections, based on turnout. This is an unprecedented experiment that could prove wrong…
- Nov 8, 22:30: How to trade the US elections with currencies: The US presidential elections offer very different candidates for voters and also for markets. The polls, which are extremely close, are…
- Nov 8, 22:21: US elections cheat sheet for trading forex [Video]: We run through market positioning ahead of the polls, where we stand now and what to expect ahead of voting….
- Nov 8, 21:00: Forex technical levels to watch ahead of the US: We examine the key support and resistance lines for the following ten currency pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD,…
- Nov 8, 20:18: 3 Scenarios for trading the US elections with USD: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 8, 19:39: Trading The US Elections: ‘It’s Not Over Until The Fat: Clinton made lots of headway on the election eve according to recent polls, mostly taken before the FBI boost. Also, massive…
- Nov 8, 19:28: Report: Clinton leading even in Ohio (VoteCastr) – USD: According to the self-described “ambitious†project called VoteCastr, monitoring real-time turnout (something the campaigns are doing anyway), Clinton is leading…
- Nov 8, 19:26: AUD: How Will The US Elections Impact The Aussie? – NAB: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 8, 17:43: Report: Clinton Leads in Florida by 3.3% – Early Vote: A new initiative called VoteCastr, trying to estimate the vote during election day puts Hillary Clinton in the lead against…
- Nov 8, 17:40: 4 scenarios for trading the elections with USD/JPY –: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 8, 15:40: CAD: Binary Risk To US Elections Outcomes – Credit: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 8, 14:52: Long The EUR On Trump, Short The JPY on Clinton – SocGen: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 8, 13:16: USD/JPY: Watch For Japan’s Intervention On A Trump Win –: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 8, 11:05: Election Day: Clinton further strenghens in polls, but USD: Today is November 8th, Election Day in the US. While over 46 million Americans have already voted, most still vote…
- Nov 8, 10:57: Trading The US Elections: Targets For Equities, Rates, FX,: Election day is today and everything is ready. Here is our full guide, video guide, and all the updates. And here…
- Nov 7, 23:27: Election Eve: Clinton swings closer to the White House: On the eve of Election Day in the US, the Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton gains momentum. While markets initially reacted on Clinton…
- Nov 7, 9:36: Clinton Cleared – Dollar Defies Donald: Nine days after the FBI dropped the bombshell that they were re-looking into Clinton’s email probe, they released a statement…
- Nov 7, 8:56: Pre US Elections Edition: US elections guide to trading: This is a special edition of the morning show. There is (almost) only one topic on our agenda: the US…
- Nov 7, 8:39: The Dollar Into The US Elections: What’s The Trade? –: The US elections are coming up with the latest news certainly favoring Clinton. Here is the view from Goldman Sachs: Here is…
- Nov 7, 6:29: The Final Countdown: Trading The US Elections – BofA: The US elections are just around the corner (see our full guide) and the team at Bank of America Merrill…
- Nov 7, 0:00: US elections: Latino early voting is massive – markets: 41 million Americans have already voted at the time of writing, and the polls aren’t open yen. According to various…
- Nov 4, 10:52: CHF Into US Elections: A ‘Great Opportunity’ To Buy: The US elections are getting closer and the “fear factor†has a prominent role. The team at Nordea has a…
- Nov 3, 16:51: US Elections: The Opposite Of Brexit – MS: While some see a Trump victory as Brexit x5 or x10, the reaction in foreign exchange markets could be different….
- Nov 3, 15:36: USD: A Post-Election Relief Rally Needs A Strong Data: The US presidential elections are very close and markets are scared of Trump. If Clinton wins, it’s not all roses…
- Nov 3, 7:57: Fear does NOT fade – USD/JPY lowest in a month: The election polls seemed to have stabilized and so did the fall in the US dollar, at least against the…
- Nov 2, 20:30: 3 reasons for a greenback comeback – and a bonus: The US dollar has been on the back foot, mostly due to the worries of “President Trump†that were exacerbated by…
- Nov 2, 15:46: US elections update: Closer race keeps markets at the: Clinton had a strong lead after the debates, but a dearth of bad news about Trump and the “FBI Effect 
- Nov 2, 15:22: Short AUD/JPY Or CAD/JPY Remain Good Proxy Hedges To US: The US elections are less than a week away, with worries of a Trump victory hurting the US dollar. The…
- Nov 2, 10:26: EUR/USD approaching key resistance on US election scare: EUR/USD continues gaining ground and has already touched 1.11. The key level to watch is 1.1120, that served as a double…
- Nov 1, 13:06: EUR/USD tops 1.10 amid a Trump lead in one poll: An ABC poll shows a 1% lead for Donald Trump on Hillary Clinton, something that hasn’t been seen for a…
- Oct 31, 14:25: FBI Effect fading- USD/JPY tops 105, EUR/USD slips: The already very interesting US elections took another twist late on Friday with the revelation that the FBI has reopened the…
- Oct 28, 20:07: US elections: Clinton emails issues resurface – USD falls: The FBI has reopened the investigation regarding Hillary Clinton’s usage of a private email server. The issue hurt her campaign when…
- Oct 27, 11:14: How Would A Trump Presidency Affect USDCNY?: Much has been made of the potential impact of the US elections on currencies such as MXN and CAD. However,…
- Oct 27, 11:07: USD: Tends To Weaken Around 1-2 Weeks Ahead Of The: The US dollar has had a good October so far, gaining ground against risk and safe currencies alike. It has…
- Oct 24, 15:22: 5 Forex lessons from Clinton’s stellar debate performance: Hillary Clinton trumped Donald Trump in all three debates, according to polls. Her accumulated victories are the highest in the…
- Oct 20, 5:50: Trump loses the debate – path open for Clinton –: Donald Trump was down in the polls ahead of the third and last presidential debate. A victory in this closely watched event could serve…
- Sep 30, 12:56: We Expect Clinton To Win In November, Fed To Hike: Clinton’s victory in the first debate is beginning to show in the post-debate polls. Will this lead to a victory on November…
- Sep 29, 20:50: Clinton gaining ground in post-debate polls – will markets: The first presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump saw rough exchanges and was eventually seen as a small victory…
- Sep 27, 8:23: Clinton wins debate – markets cheer, USD/JPY rises: Hillary Clinton gave a solid performance in the first presidential debate, while Trump couldn’t keep up and did not lacked any…
- Sep 27, 0:04: 3 reasons to watch USD/JPY for a real debate reaction: The US presidential campaigns are moving one step up with the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. With…
- Sep 12, 13:48: Market sell-off amid Fed fear, Clinton collapse: It’s not a happy Monday in stock markets, and this has implications for currencies as well. The ultimate haven currency…
- May 9, 12:12: Markets vs. Trump vs. Clinton – MM #100: The US Presidential Elections are clear: Clinton vs. Trump. What does this mean for markets? We discuss the potential impact…
