One Of These Charts Is Not Like The Other

Overnight saw big demand for Treasuries with futures heavily bid during the European session as the ECB backtracked on its QE promise. That strength continues this morning as the long-end of the Treasury complex rips lower in yield – despite higher than expected inflation – as traders react reflexively to the implication that higher inflation implies less room for an un-tapering Fed and thus now implies no savior for slowing real growth. As the following chart suggests – something is amiss with cross-market expectations…

JPY carry and bonds are not as excited as stocks about growth opportunities…

As Treasury futures were well bid in the EU session…

Charts: Bloomberg

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