Morning Call For November 9, 2015

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

December E-mini S&Ps (ESZ15 -0.32%) are down -0.33% and European stocks are down -0.42 % on global growth concerns after the OECD cut its global GDP forecasts for this year and next, and after China Oct exports and imports declined more than expected. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +1.96%, Hong Kong -0.61%, China +1.58%, Taiwan -0.59%, Australia -1.83%, Singapore -0.42, South Korea -0.42%, India -0.55%. China’s Shanghai Composite climbed to a 2-1/2 month high as a government plan to resume initial public offerings by the end of the year boosted brokerages, and Japan’s Nikkei Stock Index also rose to a 2-1/2 month high as exporters rallied on improved earnings prospects after the yen fell to a 2-1/2 month low against the dollar.

The dollar index (DXY00 -0.29%) is down -0.28%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.41% after a gauge of Eurozone investor confidence rose more than expected. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.26% at a 2-1/2 month high.

Dec T-note prices (ZNZ15 -0.09%) are down -4 ticks.

The OECD cut its global economic forecast for the second time in three months as it cut its global 2015 GDP estimate to 2.9% from a Sep forecast of 3.0%, and cut its 2016 global GDP forecast to 3.3% from a Sep estimate of 3.6%.

The Eurozone Nov Sentix investor confidence rose +3.4 to 15.1, stronger than expectations of +1.4 to 13.1.

The China Oct trade balance widened to a record surplus of +$61.64 billion, less than expectations of +$62.00 billion. Oct exports fell -6.9% y/y, more than expectations of -3.2% y/y and the fourth straight month of declines. Oct imports fell -18.8% y/y, more than expectations of -15.2% y/y and the twelfth consecutive month of declines.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Key U.S. news today includes: (1) the Treasury’s auction of $24 billion 3-year T-notes.

There are 5 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today: Priceline (consensus $24.19), Affiliated Managers Group (2.87), Scripps Networks Interactive (0.98), International Flavors and Fragrances (1.35), AGL Resources (0.21).

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