Monthly Federal Government Budget Review For June 2014

The federal government ran a budget deficit of $366 billion for the first nine months of fiscal year 2014, CBO estimates – 144 billion less than the shortfall recorded over the same span last year. Through the end of June, revenues were about 8 percent higher and outlays were about 1 percent higher than they were at the same point last year.

Budget Totals, October–June
(Billions of dollars)
  Actual, FY 2013 Preliminary, FY 2014 Estimated Change
Receipts 2,087   2,259   172  
Outlays 2,597   2,625   28  
Deficit (-) -510   -366   144  
Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury. Based on the Monthly Treasury Statement for May 2014 and the Daily Treasury Statements for June 2014.
Note: FY = fiscal year.

Total Receipts: Up by 8 Percent in the First Nine Months of Fiscal Year 2014

Receipts for the first nine months of fiscal year 2014 totaled $2,259 billion, CBO estimates—$172 billion more than receipts in the same period last year. The largest increases were the following:

  • Individual income taxes and social insurance (payroll) taxes together rose by $123 billion, or 7 percent.

    • Increases in amounts withheld from workers’ paychecks—$97 billion (or 7 percent)—accounted for most of that gain. Growth in wages and salaries and changes in law were mostly responsible for the difference. In particular, the tax rates in effect from October 2013 through December 2013 (the first quarter of fiscal year 2014) were higher than those in effect from October 2012 through December 2012 as a result of two changes that took effect in January 2013: the expiration of the 2 percentage-point payroll tax cut and an increase in tax rates for income above certain thresholds.
    • Nonwithheld receipts rose by $28 billion (or 7 percent), because of payments made for the 2013 and 2014 tax years. Income tax refunds rose by $1 billion (or 1 percent), slightly offsetting those increases.
  • Receipts from corporate income taxes rose by $29 billion (or 14 percent), probably because of growth in taxable profits in calendar years 2013 and 2014. Receipts from April through June—largely representing corporations’ first two quarterly estimated tax payments for the 2014 tax year—increased by about $12 billion (or 11 percent).
  • Receipts from the Federal Reserve rose by $18 billion, or 32 percent. The increase was attributable in part to the larger size of the central bank’s portfolio of securities and to a higher yield on that portfolio. Almost all gains occurred from January through June.
Receipts, October–June
(Billions of dollars)
Major Program or Category Actual,
FY 2013
Preliminary,
FY 2014
Estimated Change
Billions of Dollars Percent
Individual Income Taxes 992   1,046   54   5.4  
Social Insurance Taxes 716   784   69   9.6  
Corporate Income Taxes 206   235   29   14.1  
Other Receipts 174   194   20   11.5  
    Total 2,087   2,259   172   8.2  
                     
Memorandum:
Combined Individual Income and Social Insurance Taxes
               
  Withheld taxes 1,466   1,563   97   6.6  
  Other, net of refunds 242   268   25   10.5  
Total 1,708   1,830   123   7.2  
Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Department of the Treasury.
Note: FY = fiscal year.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.