Healthcare Sector Update: Life In The Slow Lane While We Wait For BIOTECH Bounce


 

  • Technology stocks continue to outperform with fits of Momentum from generative AI theme.
  • Healthcare sector lags despite moderate growth. Note bad news from CVS and Humana.
  • Momentum plays exist with specific stocks where innovation becomes apparent. e.g.CorMedix.
  • The market hit new highs last week led by technology and communication stocks as bull market enters 3rd Year.  Defensive stocks such as Healthcare () up 12.84% YTD, lagged while the Financials () up over 2%, up 21.84% YTD beat the S&P over the past week with strong earnings from banks. This week we will get a good feel for the healthcare sector from companies reporting such as Johnson and Johnson () and United Health (). The XLV is weighted heavily with five stocks , UNH, JNJ, and . Over the past year we have focused on several large cap stocks with dividends: ABBV, LLY, and . The top weighted MedTECH stocks in the XLV are: , , and . You can get good diversification in the Tools and Device sector with 2 FUNDS the up 8.88% YTD and up 14.25 %YTD, as you can see performance of our top funds below.Chars healthcare (XLV compared to technology ()(Click on image to enlarge)
    Recent Trades:

  • We added shares of Pfizer (PFE) under $30 protected somewhat  by a yield of 5.76%. as activist investor Starboard came inasa disruptor but the legal fracas has not boosted the stock. Future product sales improvement is expected from the acquisition of Seagen.
  • We also bought shares of Illumina (ILMN) that has picked up momentum over the past two weeks from a number of upgrades with expectation of a strong  product refresh cycle. CEO and bad GRAIL deal is gone.
  • The IBB and XBI recovered from recent lows and the is up 10% YTD which lags our best FUND picks. The also trails up only 7% YTD but improving.(Click on image to enlarge)
    STOCKS to Watch based on monthly performance from our SMID Life Science focus list:

  • CorMed (CRMD) up 46% MTD and 169% YTD.
  • Illumina (ILMN) up 16% MTD and 7.45% YTD.
  • PacificBioscience (PACB up 17.86% MTD and -80% YTD.
  • Natera (NTA) up 5% MTD, up107%YTD.
  • Denali Therapeutics up 3.4% MTD, up 30.5% YTD.
  • Adaptive Biotechnologies up 12.5% MTD, up 0.82% YTD.
  • Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) up 3.8% MTD, up 20% YTD.
  • Avidity Sciences (RNA)  up 15% MTD, 3.8% YTD.
  • Crenetics (CRNX) up 4.7% TD, 49%YTD.
  • SMID CAP Trading List

                            10/13/24 %YTD %MTD                                                                                                 COMPANY Ticker                               ST                   P       P % P % % MCAP RSI Trend           P 1/20/23 Initial 2/4/23   12/24/23   YTD %   4/8/24 % 10/13/24 YTD MTD $B           Adaptive BiioTech ADPT     4.11   5       2.6 -46.94 4.94 0.82 12.53 0.728 52.59 d       Acumen Therap ABOS     5.29   3.57   -33.89   3.17 -17.45 2.35 -38.8 -4.86 0.141 44.3 –       Avidity Sciences RNA new 7/1/24             25   46.6 415 14.99 5.46 55 –       Catalyst Pharma CPRX     16.1   16.58   -10.86   14.89 11.42 20.2 20.17 3.8 2.4 53.8 –       Caribou Biosci CRBU     6.29   6.17   -0.175   3.71 -35.25 1.9 -66.8 -6.88 0.169 48.47 –       CorMedix CRMD         3.9       5.31 41.22 10.12 169 46.45 0.584 83.4 u       Crenetics CRNX                 42.12 18.38 53.14 49.35 4.7 4.8 54.7 –       CRSPR Therap CRSP 49.61 -25 55.27   63.67   56.63   53.91 -13.88 46.85 -25.16 3.1 3.99 50.81 u       Cryoport CYRX 21.75 -42.34 25.24   16.09   -7.26   16.38 5.75 6.98 -54.94 -10.4 0.35 36.2 d       Cytokinetics CYTK         31       65.34 -21.74 54.98 -34.27 2.06 6.46 51.64 –       Denali DNLI     22           19.21 -9 28 30.48 3.4 4 51.93 –       Exelixis EXEL     22.25           23.75 -1.21 26.23 9.34 1.5 7.48 52 –       Evolent Health EVH 30.83 13.74 31.96   32.08   14.25   27.65 -16.29 27.06 -18.07 -10.25 3.15 44.59 u       Geron GERN 3.19 9.24 3.22   2.29   -5.37   3.79 79.62 4.33 105.21 -1.37 2.6 47.1 –       Humacyte HUMA new* 8/1/24 8.25               5.73 101.76 0.7 717 51.4 –       Ilumina ILMN new* 10/4/24 143               145.54 7.45 16.59 23.2 67.8 u       Intelllia NTLA                 25.5   18.58 -39 -8.02 1.89 39.54 –       Immatics IMTX     9.3   9.9   13.66   10 -4.94 9.34 -11.03 20.1 0.96 26.65 d       Natera NTRA         60       91.66 46.33 130 107.63 5.03 16 57 –       Pacific Biosci PACB 11.29 55.68 11.58   8.59   5   1.47 -85 1.98 -79.9 17.86 0.539 61.9 u       Novavax NVAX                 3.67 – 12.53 161 1.95 2 47.5 –       Quidel-Ortho QDEL new 9/16/24 44               41 -44.3 -8.47 2.76 37.75 d       Recursion Pharm RXRX         10.75       8.12 -17.65 6.62 -32.86 2.64 1.93 51.35 –       Rezolute RZLT new 7/8/24 4.25               4.7 373.3 -8.56 0.263 47.21 –       Roivant ROIV         11.4       11.03 -1.78 11.9 5.97 -3.88 8.8 5.1 u       Supernus SUPN 40.3 12.3 41.61   29.23   -18.05   30.07 3.9 33 14 (6.18 1.82 58.22 u       Tempest AI TEM new 7/10/24 52               48.82 21,29 5.01 7.53 47.39 –       Twist Biosci TWST     18   3.76   34.03   31.54 -14.53 44.47 20.65 0.25 2.61 51.31 –       10x Genomics TXG     47.84   56.58   55.27   27.59 -50.79 16.26 -70.94 -26.43 1.96 32.25 d                                                 Vericel VCEL     31   34.75   31.93   46.05 29.32 41.89 17.07 -4.6 2.04 43.35 –       Veracyte VCYT 24.89 39.43 26.67   28.27   19.13   19.31 -29.81 34.02 23.66 12.2 2.61 57.2 u                                                 SPDR Biotech XBI 86.99 14.75 90.39   87.62   5.57   83.49 -6.51 98.68 10.52 -0.22   51.91 –       iShares BIO IBB         133.77   -1.89   132.51 -2.48 145.59 7.17 –   53 u       HealthcareSPDR XLV         135.02   –   143.22 5.02 153.89 12.84 -0.9   52.53 –       iShares MedTEch IHI         53.65   57.3   6.17 55.79 58.61 8.6 -0.91   51.97 –                                                 ArkGenomics ARKG     35.28   32.81   16.22   23.18 -29.35 24.79 -24.44 -2.13   52.96 –                                                 T.RowePrice PRHSX         86.84   -3.32   92.49 5.22 100.4 14.22 -0.32             FidoSelBiotech FBIOX         1763           21.42 20.13 1.04             FIdoMedTech FSMEX         61.77       64.23   67.46 8.88 –             JANUS Life Sci JNGLX                     80.72 16.77 -0.28                                                                             –                                                                                                                                                             12/24/23           8/12/24 %YTD MTD                                                       iShares CoreS&P IJR         108.34   14.48   107.62 -0.58 109.6 1.32 -1.54             iShares Russell IWM         201.48   15.55   204.45 1.86 205.86 2.55 -3.53                                                       NASDAQ-100 QQQ         408.38   53.36   440.47 7.56 453.19 10.7 -8.42             Fido MED Tech FSMEX         61.77           63.36 2.26 0.19                                                       T.RowePrice PRHSX         86.84   -3.32   92.49 5.22 97.33 10.73 -1.1             iShares MED Dev IHI         53.65   2.05   57.3 6.17 55.79 3.37 -1.19          

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