German inflation better than expected

German consumer prices rise 0.1% y/y, contrary to a fall of 0.2% in the  predicted in the national numbers. Month over month, prices rise 0.9%. The EU standard figures still show a drop of 0.1% but m/m rise of 1%. All numbers beat predictions.

EUR/USD is ticking up to 1.1240. This positive surprise was not entirely unexpected after the state data.

Germany was expected to report a gain of 0.7% in prices m/m in both the national and the EU standard HICP number. Prices dropped by 1.1% and 1.3% respectively last month. Year over, the euro-zone’s largest nation was still expected stay in deflation territory, with a drop of 0.2% in the national number and 0.4% in HICP.

EUR/USD traded around 1.1222, attempting a recovery that looked more a dead cat bounce.

Yesterday, the US dollar surged on a combination of solid US inflation data with bullish comments from Bullard.

Earlier,. the various German states reported their numbers, and these were somewhat upbeat. The reason for a recovery now is the stabilization in oil prices, while the value of the euro remained low, pushing imported prices higher.

Spanish inflation came out better than expected with a year over year decline of 1.1%. Spain has one of the worst deflation levels but also enjoys growth.

There is another big event for EUR/USD coming up soon: the second release of US GDP.

See how to trade the US GDP with EUR/USD

Get the 5 most predictable currency pairs

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.