GBP/USD Forecast Nov. 28-Dec. 2

GBP/USD rebounded last week, gaining 130 points. The pair closed at 1.2455. This week’s key events are the PMI reports. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.  

British Second GBP for Q3 posted a gain of 0.5%, matching expectations. In the US, durable goods orders were sharp and UoM Consumer Sentiment beat expectations.

Updates:

GBP/USD graph with support and resistance lines on it. Click to enlarge:

1. Nationwide HPI: Tuesday, 29th-30th. This housing inflation indicator dipped to 0.0% in October, short of the forecast of 0.2%. The estimate for November stands at 0.2%.
2. Net Lending to Individuals: Tuesday, 9:30. Borrowing levels are positively correlated with spending levels. The indicator climbed to GBP 4.7 billion in September, and is expected to rise to GBP 4.8 billion in October.
3. GfK Consumer Confidence: Wednesday, 00:01. The indicator continues to point to weak consumer confidence. The index dropped to -3 points in October and is expected to drop to -4 points in November.
4. Bank Stress Test Results: Wednesday, 7:00. This test is used to gauge the stability of the banking sector and capital reserve adequacy. Previous tests have indicated a strong banking sector.
5. BoE Financial Stability Report: Wednesday, 7:00. This semi-annual report provides an analysis of the stability of the British financial sector. Analysts will be especially interested in what the report has to say about the Brexit decision and the expected impact on the economy.
6. Manufacturing PMI: Thursday, 9:30. The index continues to point to expansion in the manufacturing sector. The indicator came in at 54.3 points in October and little change is expected in the November report.
7. Construction PMI: Friday, 9:30. This indicator improved to 52.6 in October, pointing to slight expansion in the construction sector. The forecast for the November report stands at 52.3.