EUR/USD Oct. 28 – Settling in Lower Range

EUR/USD is settling in lower ground after the fall yesterday. Is this just a pause before more drops or is it just an adjustment?  Here’s a quick update on technicals, fundamentals and community trends.

EUR/USD under 1.3830.

EUR/USD Technicals

  • Asian session:  EUR/USD traded rather quietly.
  • Current Range between 1.37 to 1.3830
  • Further levels in both direcstions: Below, 1.37, 1.3637, 1.3530, 1.3430 and 1.3333. Above  1.3830, 1.3950, 1.4030, 1.4217, 1.4450 and 1.4580.
  • 1.4030 proved to be a strong line in the past, but EUR/USD couldn’t hold on to it.
  • 1.3830 lost – bearish sign – 1.37 next level.

EUR/USD Fundamentals

All times are GMT. Most important events emphasized.

  • 7:00 ECB member Axel Weber speaks.
  • 8:30 ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet talks.
  • 12:30 US Unemployment Claims. Exp. 450K.

EUR/USD Sentiment

  • Debt issues never went away, but the market disregards them. Maybe they will get more attention, especially with budgets in Ireland and Portugal.
  • The inevitable second round of quantitative easing in the US is a done deal, but will probably be of a lesser scale than thought earlier. – comments regarding the size will have a strong impact on EUR/USD.
  • Currensee Community: 57% are long, 43% are short. Yesterday we had more shorts. These are 1085 open positions in real accounts trading this pair at the moment.

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