EUR/USD Nov. 16 Leaning Lower on Busy Day

EUR/USD continues losing ground and is dropping towards lower support, as the calendar becomes busy. Will it make another big drop or recover? Here’s a quick update on technicals, fundamentals and community trends.


Euro/Dollar in low range

EUR/USD Technicals

  • Asian session:  A very quiet Asian session left Euro/Dollar in low range.
  • Current Range between 1.3530 to 1.3640
  • Further levels in both directions: Below 1.3530, 1.3430, 1.3334, 1.3267, 1.3114 and 1.2920. Above  1.3640, 1.37, 1.3830, 1.3950, 1.4030, 1.4030, 1.4160, and 1.4217.
  • 1.3334 significant lower point
  • 1.3830 significant higher point.

EUR/USD Fundamentals

All times are GMT. Most important events emphasized.

  • 7:45  French Non-Farm Payrolls. Exp.  +0.4%.
  • 10:00 German ZEW Economic Sentiment. Exp. -5.9 points.
  • 10:00 All-European ZEW Economic Sentiment. Exp. +2.3 points.
  • 10:00 European CPI. Exp. 1.9%. Core CPI exp. 1%.
  • 13:30 US PPI. Exp. +0.7%. Core PPI, exp. +0.2%.
  • 14:00 US TIC Long-Term Purchases. Exp. 100 billion.
  • 14:15 US Industrial Production. Exp. +0.4%.
  • 14:15 US Capacity Utilization Rate. Exp. 75%.
  • 15:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index. Exp. 17 points.

EUR/USD Sentiment

  • The EU pushes Ireland to take a bailout package quickly, as there are fears that the debt crisis will spread to other countries such as Spain and Italy.
  • US figures have been better than expected lately, and today’s numbers, especially TIC Long-Term Purchases, could help the dollar.
  • QE2 is heavily overshadowed by the European debt issues.
  • Currensee Community: 57% are long, 43% are short. These are 1206 open positions in real accounts trading this pair at the moment. Is the community seeing a Euro recovery underway?

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