EUR/JPY Approaches 158.00 As Markets Reassess BOJ Tightening Hopes

Yen, Money, Wealth, Japanese Yen Image Source: 
 

  • The Yen dives as BoJ officials talk down hopes of an imminent exit of its ultra=-oose policy
  • Higher US Yields after the strong US NFP are adding negative pressure on the Yen.
  • EUR/JPY is seen below 150.00 at the beginning of next year – MUFG.
  • The Yen is dropping across the board on Monday weighed by reports that have cooled off hopes the bank might signal the exit of its ultra-loose policy after next week’s meeting.
     BoJ officials cool hopes of an exit from negative ratesMarket sources reported that Bank of Japan officials see little need to end the negative rates policy. This has poured cold water on the market expectations that the bank would approve a major  shift at its December 19 meeting, and has sent the Yen tumbling across the board.

    In the absence of relevant macroeconomic data today, this news, combined with the higher US yields following the strong US employment data seen last week, is likely to keep the JPY on the back foot in the coming sessions.
     EUR/JPY seen below 150.00 early next year – MUFGFrom a wider perspective, the Technical  team at MUFG sees  trending lower over the next weeks: “Weak fundamentals make it harder for  to push back against market expectations for earlier and deeper rate cuts next year (…) We expect EUR weakness to be more pronounced against the JPY resulting in EUR/JPY falling back below the 150.00 level by early next year.”
     Technical levels to watchEUR/JPY

    OVERVIEW Today last price 157.5 Today Daily Change 1.44 Today Daily Change % 0.92 Today daily open 156.06 TRENDS Daily SMA20 161.33 Daily SMA50 159.78 Daily SMA100 158.71 Daily SMA200 154.01 LEVELS Previous Daily High 156.09 Previous Daily Low 153.86 Previous Weekly High 159.84 Previous Weekly Low 153.17 Previous Monthly High 164.31 Previous Monthly Low 159.07 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 155.24 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 154.72 Daily Pivot Point S1 154.59 Daily Pivot Point S2 153.11 Daily Pivot Point S3 152.36 Daily Pivot Point R1 156.82 Daily Pivot Point R2 157.57 Daily Pivot Point R3 159.05

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