| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior |
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Observation |
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| Week of September 30 |
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| September 30 |
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| Chicago PMI – September |
46.1% |
46.1 |
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| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-10 |
-9.7 |
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| October 1 |
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| ISM (Mfg) – Sept |
47.5 |
47.2 |
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| Construction Spending – August |
-0.1% |
-0.3 |
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| JOLTS – August |
7650K |
7.673 |
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| Auto Sales – September |
15.2M |
15.1 |
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| Car Sales |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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| Truck Sales |
12.3 |
12.3 |
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| October 2 |
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| ADP Employment Report – September |
135K |
99 |
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| October 3 |
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| PMI Services Index |
55.4 |
55.4 |
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| ISM Services – September |
52.0 |
51.5 |
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| Factory Orders – August |
-1.1% |
5.0 |
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| Durable Goods Orders |
-2.9 |
9.8 |
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| Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.6 |
0.8 |
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| PMI Manufacturing Index |
47.0 |
47.0 |
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| October 4 |
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| Nonfarm Payrolls – September |
153K |
142 |
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| Private |
135 |
118 |
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| Manufacturing |
5 |
-24 |
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| Unemployment |
4.2% |
4.2 |
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| Average Workweek |
34.3HR |
34.3 |
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| Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3% |
0.4 |
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| Week of October 7 |
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| October 7 |
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| Consumer Credit – August |
$12.0B |
25.5 |
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| October 8 |
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| NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index – September |
91.5 |
91.2 |
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| International Trade – August |
-$75.3B |
-78.8 |
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| October 10 |
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| Consumer Price Index – September |
0.2% |
0.2 |
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| Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.3 |
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| October 11 |
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| Producer Price Index – August |
0.1% |
0.2 |
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| PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) |
0.2 |
0.3 |
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| Michigan Consumer Sentiment – October (p) |
96.0 |
96.0 |
