Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|
Forecast |
Prior |
|
|
|
Observation |
|
|
|
|
|
Week of November 11 |
|
|
|
November 12 |
|
|
|
NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index – October |
91.5 |
91.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 13 |
|
|
|
Consumer Price Index – October |
0.2% |
0.2 |
|
Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury Budget – October |
-$265.0B |
-64.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 14 |
|
|
|
Producer Price Index – October |
0.2% |
0.0 |
|
PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 15 |
|
|
|
Retail Sales – October |
0.3% |
0.4 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.4 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
0.0 |
-11.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Export Prices – October |
0.0% |
-0.7 |
|
Import Prices |
-0.1 |
-0.4 |
|
Import Prices, ex-Energy |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
|
Import Prices, Energy |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Industrial Production – October |
-0.3% |
-0.3 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
77.2 |
77.5 |
|
Manufacturing |
-0.5 |
-0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Business Inventories – September |
0.1% |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Week of November 18 |
|
|
|
November 18 |
|
|
|
NAHB Index |
45 |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 19 |
|
|
|
Housing Starts – October |
1.340M |
1.354 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 21 |
|
|
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
8.0 |
10.3 |
|
Leading Indicators |
-0.3 |
-0.5 |
|
Existing Home Sales – October |
3.880M |
3.840 |
|
|
|
|