Click Here for access to our Q1 2014 seasonality excel database: Â
68 companies (see below) entered October having robust seasonality for Q4 (posting positive returns in 9 or 10 of the past 10 Q4’s). 61 gained ground in the quarter. Of the 68, the average return was 11.55% (as of mid-day December 31st).
I’ve also broke out the best seasonality plays across all market caps at the end of this email.
Best wishes for a happy, safe, and productive 2014.
-Todd
Todd Campbell
E.B. Capital Markets, LLC
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Here are the 68 from Q4 and how they performed (scroll to the bottom for the Q1 picks):
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| Q4 2013 | 9/30/2013 | 12/31/2013 | Â |
| X | 20.55 | 29.36 | 42.87% |
| AAP | 82.63 | 110.9 | 34.21% |
| HZO | 12.2 | 16.05 | 31.56% |
| UHAL | 184.13 | 236.55 | 28.47% |
| CLF | 20.39 | 26.11 | 28.05% |
| GPN | 51.06 | 64.8 | 26.91% |
| TCBK | 22.69 | 28.48 | 25.52% |
| RCL | 38.06 | 47.2 | 24.01% |
| KFY | 21.4 | 26.27 | 22.76% |
| HP | 68.5 | 83.91 | 22.50% |
| CVCO | 56.95 | 68.93 | 21.04% |
| WLT | 14.02 | 16.75 | 19.47% |
| MTW | 19.48 | 23.27 | 19.46% |
| AYI | 91.9 | 109.53 | 19.18% |
| BEAV | 73.82 | 86.58 | 17.29% |
| ALK | 62.46 | 73.16 | 17.13% |
| BLK | 269.14 | 315.15 | 17.10% |
| BMI | 46.34 | 54.23 | 17.03% |
| NTCT | 25.53 | 29.62 | 16.02% |
| CLC | 55.36 | 64.22 | 16.00% |
| PRE | 90.97 | 105.18 | 15.62% |
| APH | 77.2 | 89.22 | 15.57% |
| HTHIY.PK | 66.35 | 76.44 | 15.21% |
| JOY | 50.88 | 58.5 | 14.98% |
| BLL | 44.76 | 51.44 | 14.92% |
| PCLN | 1010.95 | 1154.32 | 14.18% |
| CHH | 43 | 49.03 | 14.02% |
| LII | 74.81 | 85.29 | 14.01% |
| FFIN | 58.61 | 66.26 | 13.05% |
| KSU | 109.17 | 123.1 | 12.76% |
| PII | 128.78 | 145.13 | 12.70% |
| DE | 80.93 | 91.16 | 12.64% |
| MON | 103.94 | 116.14 | 11.74% |
| HCSG | 25.6 | 28.48 | 11.25% |
| DHR | 69.3 | 76.93 | 11.01% |
| EV | 38.63 | 42.73 | 10.61% |
| WLP | 83.27 | 91.98 | 10.46% |
| NUE | 48.68 | 53.38 | 9.65% |
| WM | 40.91 | 44.77 | 9.44% |
| FCN | 37.8 | 41.22 | 9.05% |
| EMR | 64.28 | 69.97 | 8.85% |
| ACI | 4.08 | 4.43 | 8.58% |
| NKE | 72.41 | 78.5 | 8.41% |
| UNP | 154.59 | 167.52 | 8.36% |
| AFL | 61.65 | 66.63 | 8.08% |
| TRV | 84.29 | 90.46 | 7.32% |
| FHN | 10.94 | 11.68 | 6.76% |
| MD | 50.2 | 53.26 | 6.10% |
| JBHT | 72.78 | 77.1 | 5.94% |
| PBCT | 14.22 | 15.06 | 5.91% |
| CMP | 75.69 | 80 | 5.69% |
| HMSY | 21.49 | 22.67 | 5.49% |
| TRP | 43.53 | 45.81 | 5.24% |
| UNH | 71.34 | 75 | 5.13% |
| APD | 106.57 | 111.49 | 4.62% |
| COST | 114.88 | 118.85 | 3.46% |
| AIR | 27.26 | 27.92 | 2.42% |
| MCD | 95.42 | 96.77 | 1.41% |
| NDSN | 73.45 | 74.35 | 1.23% |
| MTD | 240.09 | 242.59 | 1.04% |
| SHW | 181.69 | 183.04 | 0.74% |
| CHRW | 59.22 | 58.24 | -1.65% |
| BMRN | 72.17 | 70.11 | -2.85% |
| MWV | 38.1 | 36.64 | -3.83% |
| ASML | 98.76 | 93.68 | -5.14% |
| VTR | 60.71 | 57.35 | -5.53% |
| BBD | 13.68 | 12.53 | -8.41% |
| LPHI | 2.14 | 1.77 | -17.29% |
| SPY | 167.1 | 184.07 | 10.16% |
