Crude Oil struggles to hold ground and orbits around the $70.00 level on Tuesday. The pressure on Oil’s price comes from markets repricing the US (Fed) interest rate cut projections in the near future. With decreasing odds of an aggressive rate cut path by the Fed, economic growth and energy demand might be killed, which means a bleak for Oil in the coming months. (DXY), which tracks the performance of the Greenback against six other currencies, consolidates near an 11-week high of 104.00 on Tuesday. With the surge in US yields, the rate differential sees the US overshadow other main continents, such as Europe or Asia. This supports the DXY, which may rise further in the coming weeks to 105.00. At the time of writing, Crude Oil (WTI) trades at $69.78 and Brent Crude at $73.76 Oil news and market movers: Rates hurting Oil demand
Oil Technical Analysis: Markets strip away geopoliticsCrude Oil price is facing more and more pressure to trade at more discount. Markets are stripping away geopolitics in the Middle East, with nearly all external parties not willing to get involved in a proxy war, while Israel and Iran are escalating tensions at a very slow pace. While supply is richly flowing, the markets look flooded with Oil for the rest of 2024, according to the recent Energy Information Administration (EIA) report.There is a challenging path to recovery for Crude in the coming days. First, the pivotal level at $71.46, which was strong enough to catch the falling knife on October 14, must be regained again with a daily close above it. Once from there, the hefty technical level at $75.13, with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a few pivotal lines, is possibly the first big hurdle ahead. On the downside, traders need to look much lower, at $67.12, a level that supported the price in May-June 2023. In case that level breaks, the 2024 year-to-date low emerges at $64.75 followed by $64.38, the low of 2023.(Click on image to enlarge)More By This Author:US Dollar Flat With A Very Calm Start Of The Week US Dollar Halts Recent Gains After China Steps Up Supportive Measures US Dollar Turns Flat Ahead Of Important ECB Meeting With All Eyes On Lagarde
