Small Caps Clear A Path For Higher Prices


Last night after the sell-off, we had this to say:

“For junk bonds and small caps, the next day or two will be very telling on whether this a buyable dip, or the start of a bigger correction.”

We also wrote 4 scenarios that could help you decide next moves:

  • HYG holds these lows and works its way back to 77.00 or the 50-DMA. A close above would be considered strong. (NOT QUITE BUT CLOSE)
  • A move under today’s lows in HYG, regardless of what IWM is doing, we would think a bigger correction is coming. (DID NOT HAPPEN)
  • IWM, which failed to hold above the January calendar range high and is not that far under the 50-DMA, clears and holds back above 195. Even if HYG just consolidates, we would consider this a positive for the small caps and market. (YAY-THAT HAPPENED)
  • IWM cannot clear back above 195 and confirms a caution phase, which will lead us to wait for a test of 185 before buying anything new. (HAPPY VALENTINE’S DAY-IWM HELD)
  • Furthermore, we noted that Granny Retail did better yesterday and Transportation, held 266. Granny Retail rose about 1.5%.IYT ran up 3.5%-hard to argue with strong transports!As you can see from the chart, Granddad Russell IWM did its job for today.
    ETF SummaryS&P 500 () 500 now the pivotal point-490 near-term supportRussell 2000 (IWM) 195 supportDow () 385 now resistanceNasdaq () 430 pivotal supportRegional banks () Back to the 45-50 rangeSemiconductors () 200 pivotalTransportation (IYT) 266 support. 282 the highs so farBiotechnology () 135 pivotalRetail (XRT) The Jan calendar range high at 73 now must holdMore By This Author:Did Small Caps Suffer Near-Term Irreparable Damage? Year Of The Dragon – Will Vietnam ETF Breathe Fire? How Will We Know When The Rally Is Over?

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