A UN report has everything wrong as to the cause of current problems. Yet, the report mentions central bank liquidity.
Seldom does one see a report that “debt is the problem” while being 180 degrees wrong as to the cause of the buildup in debt.
The United Nations’ Trade and Development Report for 2018 blames the “Free Trade Delusion” for what ails the word.
International trade in the late nineteenth century was managed through an unholy mixture of colonial controls in the periphery and rising tariffs in the emerging core, often, as in the case of the United States, pushed to very high levels. But like today, talk of free trade provided a useful cover for the unhindered movement of capital and an accompanying set of rules – the gold standard, repressive labour laws, balanced budgets – that disciplined government spending and kept the costs of doing business in check.
Wow. There’s more:
But if there is one lesson to take from the interwar years, it is that talking up free trade against a backdrop of austerity and widespread political mistrust will not hold the centre as things fall apart. And simply pledging to leave no one behind while appealing to the goodwill of corporations or the better angels of the super-rich are, at best, hopeful pleas for a more civic world and, at worst, willful attempts to deflect from serious discussion of the real factors driving growing inequality, indebtedness and insecurity.
With such an ass-backward premise, one might expect the entire report to be wrong. Far from it.
Liquidity Driven Bubbles
Unlike their progressive MMT brethren, the authors understand some things:
- There’s an unsustainable buildup of debt
- There are huge asset bubbles
- Cheap liquidity stretched valuations to extreme levels
Explosion of Debt
Private debt has exploded, especially in emerging markets and developing countries, whose share of global debt stock increased from 7 per cent in 2007 to 26 per cent in 2017, while the ratio of credit to non-financial corporations to GDP in emerging market economies increased from 56 per cent in 2008 to 105 per cent in 2017.
