Fed favorite inflation measure remains at 1.3% y/y

Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, was expected to tick up 0.1% m/m in January and came out bang on expectations. December’s year over year rise was 1.3% and the fresh data for January is also +1.3%.

The US dollar was somewhat stronger against many currencies towards this publication, but not against the euro which enjoyed stronger than expected data.

Update: ISM Manufacturing PMI slips to 52.9 – below expectations 

More data:

  • Personal income was expected to rise 0.4%. The actual number is +0.3%.
  • Personal spending carried expectations for dip of 0.1%. The actual number is -0.2%.
  • The non-core PCE rose 0.2% m/m.

All in all, the data is not very impressive, but the most important takeaway is that there is no reason to worry about core inflation, which is part of the Fed’s mandate.

Later we have the ISM manufacturing PMI, which includes a first hint towards Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls: the internal employment component.

More: Get Ready For The Next Leg Lower In EUR/USD Coming Weeks

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