War, Pay Phones, Small Business And Big Banks

Podcast: Play in new window | Play in new window (Duration: 13:15 — 6.1MB)

DOW + 154 = 17,210
SPX + 15 = 1998
NAS + 46 = 4555
10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.57%
OIL + 1.18 = 92.80
GOLD – 6.30 = 1217.60
SILV – .11 = 17.78

President Obama addressed the United Nations General Assembly today. He condemned ISIS, and said there was no reasoning and no negotiation with their brand of evil. He said the US “will work with a broad coalition to dismantle this network of death”; that coalition is now up to 40 countries. He urged Muslims to reject the ideology of ISIS and al-Qaeda. He also announced a US warplanes hit ISIS vehicles and arms dumps in new air strikes in Iraq and Syria. ISIS continues to advance in Syria and aid agencies report some 130,000 Kurdish refugees have crossed into Turkey in the past few days. An Algerian jihadist group linked to ISIS has released a video which it says shows militants beheading a French tourist.

The president’s speech also criticized Russia for the recent invasion of Ukraine. Today, NATO reports Russia has withdrawn a sizable number of its troops from eastern Ukraine, although some remain. Russian backed rebels in the region said they had begun pulling back their heavy artillery after Ukrainian troops did the same. For now, the cease fire appears to be holding.

The stock market recovered after three days of losses; for the Dow Industrials it was two days of triple digit declines. Not much in the way of economic news today. New home sales were up 18% in August. In a separate report, the Mortgage Bankers Association said applications for loans to purchase homes fell last week as mortgage rates crept up. New loan applications are well off peaks seen early last year. Yesterday, the NAR reported existing home sales had flat lined, with both “cash sales” and “sales to investors” dropping, or rather plunging since late 2013. Every month since late last year, existing home sales have been below their year-ago levels. Bad news for flippers. Looking at the bigger picture it might give some hints to family formation, or lack thereof. For economists, it might serve as a lesson that rising home prices are a symptom of economic strength, not a cause; and you can’t sustain rising home prices without rising wages.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi renewed a pledge to keep monetary policy loose for an extended period. The euro dropped below $1.28. The dollar has now posted gains for 10 straight weeks, pushing the dollar index above 85 for the first time since July 2010. A stronger dollar likely means lower prices on basic commodities; it also serves as stimulus for the Eurozone and Japan, making their exports cheaper; and a strong dollar might even fuel another round of M&A activity; also, this might be a great time to take a European vacation.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.