After the breakout in the Russell 2000 it had looked like the S&P was ready to follow suit, but Friday wasn’t to be its day. The S&P experienced a relatively light point loss, but did register a distribution day. However, it remains primed for a breakout on Monday.
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While the Russell 2000 breakout holds, it provides the basis for the S&P to follow suit. The index only finished a few points above its breakout price, but while it remains above 1,200 the break is considered valid.
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The Dow had also cleared its declining channel, although it hasn’t yet surpassed the January peak, required before it can challenge ‘Santa Rally’ highs.
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The Nasdaq is also waiting on a breakout, but if it can manage one it will rank as a new 52-week high. Unlike the S&P, Friday’s selling did not register as distribution – offering another tick in the bulls column.
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The Semiconductor Index could also be coming to the Nasdaq’s aid. Since December, the index has been consolidating, but Friday saw a return to net bullish technicals, leaving it primed for a breakout of its own. Should this clear the consolidation it will provide additional fuel for the Nasdaq’s (and Nasdaq 100) push higher.
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For Monday, keep an eye on the Nasdaq and S&P as they work towards breakouts. However, if the Russell 2000 drops below 1200 it will weaken the prospects for a breakout in the aforementioned indices.