Robust U.K. GDP Report To Propel GBP/USD Rebound

– U.K. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to Expand Annualized 2.1% for Second Straight Quarter.

- Will Signs of Better-Than-Expected Growth Keep the Bank of England (BoE) on the Sidelines?

Trading the News: U.K. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

GBP/USD may stage a larger rebound over the next 24-hours of trade as the advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report is expected to show the U.K. economy expanding another annualized 2.1% in the third-quarter of 2016, and signs of better-than-expected growth may encourage the Bank of England (BoE) to retain the current policy throughout the remainder of the year as the central bank sees growing risk of overshooting the 2% target for inflation.

What’s Expected:

Click Here for the DailyFX Calendar

Why Is This Event Important:

The BoE may continue to embark on its easing-cycle over the coming months as ‘a majority of members expect to support a further cut in Bank Rate to its effective lower bound,’ but Governor Mark Carney and Co. may largely endorse a wait-and-see approach going into 2017 as central bank officials warn the next quarterly inflation due out on November 3 will reflect the sharp decline in the exchange rate. Even though the threat of a ‘hard Brexit’ instills a long-term bearish outlook for the British Pound, GBP/USD may face a larger correction over the days ahead especially as the BoE appears to be in no rush to implement lower borrowing-costs.

Expectations: Bullish Argument/Scenario

Release

Expected

Actual

Employment Change (3Mo3M) (AUG)

76K

106K

Lloyds Business Barometer (SEP)

24

Net Consumer Credit (AUG)

1.4B

1.6B

The ongoing improvement in the labor market accompanied by the pickup in private-sector lending may foster a strong GDP report, and a positive development may spark a bullish reaction in the British Pound as market participants push out bets for a BoE rate-cut.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.