EUR/USD October 4 – Losing Ground Towards Support

EUR/USD is losing ground, retracing some of the huge gains it made last week. It now approaches a support line. Does this start show the way for the rest of the week? Here’s a quick update on technicals, fundamentals, and community trends.

EUR/USD after Itish decision.

EUR/USD Technicals

  • Asian session:  Quiet session ranging with EUR/USD trading around 1.38. The fall came in the wake of the London session.
  • Current Range between 1.37 to 1.38.
  • Further levels in both direcstions: Below,  1.3530, 1.35, 1.3430, 1.3365, 1.3267, 1.3160, and 1.3110. Above  1.3850, 1.40 1.42 and 1.4450.
  • Wide uptrend channel: Uptrend resistance began on Sep. 8 and uptrend support on Sep. 13. Trading is characterized with many hours of consolidation, followed by  few hours of sharp rises.

EUR/USD Fundamentals

All times are GMT. Most important events emphasized.

  • 8:30 Sentix Investor Confidence. Exp. 8.3.
  • 9:00 PPI. Exp. +0.2%.
  • 14:00 US Pending Home Sales. Exp. +2.8%.
  • 14:00 US Factory Orders. Exp. -0.3%.
  • 19:00 Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke talks.

EUR/USD Sentiment

  • The  big question regarding Ireland remains about the “haircut” that debt holders will have to pay. News about the size of concessions can still rock the Euro.
  • Debt issues never went away, but the market disregards them. This could change this week.
  • The inevitable second round of quantitative easing in the US still weighs on weakens the dollar.
  • Holding on to 1.37 is important for the Euro.
  • The rush to close positions on Friday always triggers lots of action.
  • Pending Home Sales are the main event.
  • Currensee Community: 53% are long, 47% are short. These are 1051 open positions in real accounts trading this pair at the moment.

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