Report: Clinton Leads in Florida by 3.3% – Early Vote

A new initiative called VoteCastr, trying to estimate the vote during election day puts Hillary Clinton in the lead against Donald Trump in the largest swing state: Florida. We know that Latino turnout was high before election day.

The data should be taken with a big grain of salt, as it is the first attempt to monitor turnout and to estimate outcomes of this type. It has been criticized by many. Nevertheless, the campaigns are using such turnout data to make real-time decision on where to push the Get Out To Vote efforts.

Update: Just before first exit polls: Clinton up in Florida, tight in Ohio

Update: Report: Clinton leading even in Ohio – USD rallies – take everything with a big grain of salt

Here are a few of their numbers from their broadcast and from the live blog

  • Ohio: Clinton leads (surprise)
  • Florida: 3.3% lead for Clinton
  • Colorado: very tight. Update: Clinton 46% against 44%.
  • Pennsylvania: Trump leads (surprise)
  • Nevada: Clinton 46.7%. Trump 45%.

You can watch their broadcast here:

More:

  • How to trade the US elections with currencies
  • US elections: updates on 21 brokers 
  • US elections and forex – all the updates in one place

And the video:


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