Report: Clinton set to win Florida, Ohio and basically

The people behind VoteCastr continue casting their projections, based on turnout. This is an unprecedented experiment that could prove wrong of course, but the methodology makes sense. According to the data they publish, Hillary Clinton is on track to win almost all swing states: Florida (thanks to a massive Hispanic vote), Colorado, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada and even Ohio, leaving Trump with only Iowa. If the turnout data that VoteCastr projects continues this way, she is on track to a landslide victory in the electoral college.

While they and we can put all the grains of salt and disclaimers, but markets are already moving.

Update: Just before first exit polls: Clinton up in Florida, tight in Ohio

Update: here is the picture as of 16:40 EST / 21:40 GMT:

Here are their latest numbers as of 15:48 Eastern, 20:48 GMT.

Florida

• 83.9 percent of expected total voters
• Clinton: 48 percent
• Trump: 45 percent

Colorado:

• 80.3 percent of expected total voters
• Clinton: 46 percent
• Trump: 43 percent

Iowa:

• 66.5 percent of expected total voters
• Clinton: 45 percent
• Trump: 46 percent

Wisconsin:

• 62 percent of expected total voters
• Clinton: 48 percent
• Trump: 43 percent

Nevada:

• 68.8 percent of expected total voters
• Clinton: 46 percent
• Trump: 45 percent

Ohio:

• 73.7 percent of expected total voters
• Clinton: 45 percent
• Trump: 46 percent

Pennsylvania

• 63.2 percent of expected total voters
• Hillary: 48 percent
• Trump: 45 percent

More:

• How to trade the US elections with currencies
• US elections: updates on 21 brokers 
• US elections and forex – all the updates in one place

Get the 5 most predictable currency pairs