USD: Scope For More Pain Trade For USD Shorts N-Term On Position Clearout – BNPP

The US Dollar was on a roll alongside Treasury yields. But can this continue? Here are some doubts:

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

BNP Paribas Research discusses the USD outlook and sees a scope for further USD gains in the near-term, while maintaining a structural bearish bias in the medium term.

“We see an elevated risk of a position clearout and unwind of short USD hedges, which could see the USD regain ground for a period of time.

The problem for USD shorts is that elevated US short-term rates make it expensive to maintain this position, particularly versus a negative yield currency like the EUR,” BNPP argues.

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