| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
| |
Forecast |
Prior |
|
| |
|
Observation |
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| |
|
|
|
| Week of November 18 |
|
|
|
| November 18 |
|
|
|
| NAHB Index |
45 |
43 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| November 19 |
|
|
|
| Housing Starts – October |
1.340M |
1.354 |
|
| Building Permits |
1.430 |
1.428 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| November 21 |
|
|
|
| Initial Unemployment Claims |
|
|
|
| Philadelphia Fed Survey |
8.0 |
10.3 |
|
| Leading Indicators |
-0.3 |
-0.5 |
|
| Existing Home Sales – October |
3.880M |
3.840 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| November 22 |
|
|
|
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
48.8 |
48.5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – November (r) |
73.5 |
73.0 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Week of November 25 |
|
|
|
| November 25 |
|
|
|
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index – October |
-0.10 |
-0.28 |
|
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-6.0 |
-3.0 |
|
| FHFA Housing Price Index – Sept |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| November 26 |
|
|
|
| S&P Case/Shiller Index – September |
|
|
|
| Twenty City M/M |
-0.1% |
-0.3 |
|
| Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
| Twenty City Y/Y |
4.8 |
5.2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Consumer Confidence – November |
105.0 |
108.7 |
|
| New Home Sales – October |
720K |
738 |
|
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-0.8 |
-16.5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| November 27 |
|
|
|
| Durable Goods Sales – October |
0.4% |
-0.5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| International Trade in Goods – October |
-$105.2B |
-108.2 |
|
| Wholesale Inventories – October |
0.0% |
-0.2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| GDP – Q3 (r) |
2.8% |
2.8 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Personal Income – October |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
| Personal Spending |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
| PCE Price Index |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
| Core PCE Price Index |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Pending Home Sale Index – October |
76.1 |
75.8 |
|
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|
|
|
| November 29 |
|
|
|
| Chicago PMI |
44.4 |
41.6 |
