Artificial Intelligence (AI) is having a powerful impact in the domain of finance. Estimates of the 10-year revenue figure vary but could be as high as $3 trillion. Over a similar period, the market value of AI firms is expected to grow at a 37% rate. Although the opportunities seem boundless, valuations conducted in the financial markets are increasingly complex to carry out for AI/tech stocks. Artificial Intelligence in Finance: Valuations and Opportunities
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The results are hypothetical results and are NOT an indicator of future results and do NOT represent returns that any investor actually attained. Indexes are unmanaged and do not reflect management or trading fees, and one cannot invest directly in an index.2. BEHAVIORAL: The behavioral component is based on a technology sentiment index, using the Google trend of key technological terms. The key issue is to determine how the stock relates to AI technology. In the Nvidia () case, the correlation between the Google Trend Index and Nvidia’s price acts as an estimate of how embedded the stock is to AI tech. Terms include: artificial intelligence, neural network, large language model, machine learning, generative AI, and deep learning. See Tables 1 and 2 below for estimates of the for Nvidia over 2 separate time -periods. The estimate of AI sensitivity is found in Table 3. For Nvidia, the sum of artificial intelligence searches is 17.5% (from Table 1: 683 divided by total searches at 3904) and 35.2% when weighted across search terms. Nvidia has substantial exposure to AI terms, however, the exposure is less than the exposure of MSFT and GOOG. The same methodology can be used on other stocks to determine sensitivity to the AI opportunity. Why does it matter?The authors identified three key areas of knowledge an investor or analyst should acquire to understand how AI is transforming the financial landscape. First, develop a thorough understanding of the AI concept in terms of innovation and relevance to finance. Second, develop the methodologies for assessing AI companies and tech investment funds. Third, focus on the industry leaders in AI to provide context and provoke an examination of the future of AI. How will it influence the capital markets, how and what will drive growth in sales, and ultimately, how will valuations be influenced? The most important chart from the paperThe results are hypothetical results and are NOT an indicator of future results and do NOT represent returns that any investor actually attained. Indexes are unmanaged and do not reflect management or trading fees, and one cannot invest directly in an index. Abstract
This study examines the financial opportunities arising from the new Artificial Intelligence (AI) innovation. Firstly, we present the current and projected AI revenue for the upcoming decade. Secondly, we introduce a valuation model for AI stocks and ETFs, incorporating both AI fundamental and sentiment analyses. We offer two primary models for stock valuation adoption. Our analyses can serve as a benchmark framework for stock valuations and their influence on AI technology. This study holds particular significance as we witness an enthusiastic embrace of AI technology, potentially signaling the financial market’s entry into an AI bubble.
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